Hillary posturing for 2012?
Dick Morris has a theory that has crossed many a minds: Hilldawg is trying to sabotage Obama so she can run again in 2012. Says Morris:
… Until the last vote is counted on June 3rd, we can chalk up her persistence to determination, courage and sheer obstinacy. But if she persists in her candidacy after the last primary, we must begin to consider whether she has an ulterior motive.
Does Hillary want to beat up Obama so that he can’t win the general election in November, assuring McCain of the presidency so that she can have a clear field to run again in 2012? Obviously, if Obama beats McCain, Hillary is out of the picture until 2016, by which time, at 69 years old, she might be too old to run. But if McCain wins, she would have to be considered the presumptive front runner for the nomination, a status which she might parlay into a nomination more successfully than she has been able to do this year.
Every day that she stays in the race and punches Barack Obama, she must realize that she is decreasing his chances of getting elected in November. Each time that she waves the bloody shirt and says that only she is strong enough to fight the war on terror, she obviously raises doubts about Obama’s strength and leadership. Every time she criticizes him for not switching pastors or for saying downscale white voters are bitter, she raises issues that are very destructive to Obama should he win the nomination.
When does fighting for the nomination in 2008 end and seeking to sabotoge Obama’s chances in November to keep her options alive for 2012 begin? Doubts about Hillary’s motivation are going to keep on growing with each inconclusive primary. After she loses North Carolina and fails to carry Indiana by any significant margin (North Carolina has twice as many delegates as Indiana), people will begin to wonder out loud about why she is staying in the race. And if she remains obdurate after the last votes are cast on June 3rd, it will become an increasingly accepted presumption that she is running a campaign of sabotage against Obama. …
I’m inclined to agree. Her Highness isn’t going to get the nomination now, regardless of how much Buyer’s Remorse the party has for going with the Obamessiah. The more damage she can do to Obama, the better the chances are that McLame is going to win in November. When McCain runs for re-election in 2012, he will be 76 years old.
She will have a better chance at capturing her party’s nomination in 2012, especially with those who abandoned her this year to go with the fatally flawed and failed (in this scenario) Obama. Those Dems will feel guilty for leaving Hilldawg at the electoral altar for an empty suit that got pummeled in the general election by a geriatric, and they’ll recall how close she came in 2008 to getting the nomination. They’ll flock to her in droves.
Of course, there are some flaws in this scenario. For one, there is no way of knowing how the political landscape will look in 2012: the economy, the war on terror, potential scandals, etc. A lot of assumptions are being made here by Morris and others (myself included). However, considering that Her Highness is all but doomed this year, does anyone else see what other choices in her mind that she has?
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You bet she is. She needs McCain to win this year to get a shot at ’12.
Comment by Fr. J. | April 29, 2008
If she is going for 2012 it is a mistake (so is this year but thats another question). The dems havent had a 2 term out of office “leader” since Humphrey. Gore, Kerry and now Clinton held their hopes for “next time” and there never was a next time for them.
Comment by WMD_Maker | April 29, 2008
Absolutely she is doing this. And if by some chance she gets the nomination from the party, I recommend that all that don’t want McCain or Clinton write in Obama’s name on the ballot. Two can play this game.
Comment by jjohnson | April 30, 2008