Crush Liberalism

UPDATED: Taking informal bets on McCain’s VP today

UPDATES WILL BE THROUGHOUT THE DAY, AND THIS POST WILL BE BUMPED TO THE TOP OF THE PECKING ORDER.

Juanny Mac announces his VP today.  Here are my top three predicted picks, with the odds of being picked beside their names:

1.  MN governor Tim Pawlenty: 50%

2.  AK governor Sarah Palin:  45%

3.  Mitt Romney:  3%

Pawlenty would be a great pick for a couple of reasons: more conservative than McAmnesty; younger and easier on the eyes (so the ladies tell me!); and puts MN into serious play, as most polls show O with around a 2 – 5% lead right now in MN.

Palin would also be a great pick: a female on the ticket, which could attract more women voters (especially Hilldawg supporters still chapping over her defeat and subsequent VP snub); plus, being a hottie doesn’t hurt the ticket!  Hey, I am a red-blooded American male, OK? 

I like Romney, and it wouldn’t bother me if he were chosen.  But I do fear that putting a Mormon on the ticket would bother (whether fair or not, rational or not) many in the Christian community.  After his great performance at Saddleback, McCain can’t jeopardize those gains.

As for the other 2%, that would be left under “Someone else who is likely to underwhelm me.”  Please, God: do NOT let it be Lieberman, Rudy, or Ridge!

What say you?

UPDATE #1 (08/29/2008 – 08:20 A.M. EST): No sooner had I finished typing this post when NBC reports that it will not be Pawlenty.  Palin, Romney, or someone else?

UPDATE #2 (08/29/2008 – 10:15 A.M. EST): FNC is reporting that Romney is supposedly out, and that a McCain supporter’s charter plane from Alaska arrived at Mac’s campaign stop in Ohio.  Read into that what you will.

UPDATE #3 (08/29/2008 – 10:26 A.M. EST): Now CNBC is reporting that a “Republican strategist” is saying that the pick is definitely Palin.  Nothing official yet, but the trend is leaning that way for now.  I do get a kick out of CNBC’s characterization of Palin as “a self-styled ‘hockey mom’ who has only been governor for a little over a year“.  Technically, it’s almost two years, but why quibble over three months? In other words, the VP candidate has been an executive for only a slightly less amount of time than a certain achievementless presidential candidate has been a federal legislator.  Presumably that extra 6 – 9 months or so makes all the difference in the world to the MSM.

UPDATE #4 (08/29/2008 – 10:36 A.M. EST): Now the Chicago fishwrap is reporting that the pick is definitely Palin.  Again, nothing official yet.

UPDATE #5 (08/29/2008 – 01:06 P.M. EST): Back from lunch, so you already know by now: it’s Gov. Palin.

August 29, 2008 - Posted by crushliberalism | McCain, Palin