UPDATE: Exit polls crap?
UPDATES BELOW.
We saw in 2000 and 2004 that exit polls are pure crap. Jim Geraghty of NRO found some interesting stats that show this year will be no different with exit polls, with the following prediction:
Now, I’ll tell you now – polls close first in Kentucky, Indiana, Georgia and Virginia at 7 p.m. eastern Tuesday . I find it extremely likely that Indiana and Virginia will be called for Obama immediately after the polls close by at least one network, based on these exit polls that have fewer pro-McCain respondents.
The ingredients are there for a rerun of 2004, when the exit polls indicated a Kerry victory and deviated signficantly from the actual results.
Remember this prediction on election night to see if he was right.
UPDATE (11/01/2008 – 06:30 A.M. EST): Another indication that polls are crap? Zogby had The One up by five yesterday…and now has McCain ahead by 1% today! Sure, it gives us hope, and I’m not trying to be a buzzkill here, but I’m just saying once again that polls suck. Go vote, and trust God with the rest.
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The media was having orgasms when the exit polls showed Kerry beating Bush four years ago, but in the end it was only a “wet dream” and a major let down. Bush won.
Comment by Tyrone | November 1, 2008