2009 election
Three races are happening today: NJ gov, VA gov, special NY-23 House. Predictions follow.
VA gov: Republican Bob McDonnell will destroy Democrat Creigh Deeds. Every poll has McD up by double digits. Prediction: Unless every single poll is wrong, this one is a done deal, and McD cruises.
NJ gov: Every major poll lately has Republican Chris Christie leading unpopular incumbent Democrat Jon Corzine, although nearly all of them are within the margin of error. There is an independent running in the race, although experts disagree from whom Daggett is siphoning votes. Predicition: Corzine will eke out a victory for two reasons: (1) NJ is so hopelessly blue (and stupid) that they’ll even vote for a man they detest because he’s not Republican; and (2) ACORN has been on the ground in NJ. Nuff said. Don’t be surprised to see an Al Franken kind of theft victory.
NY-23: The RINO suspended her campaign, though her name remains on the ballot. She has endorsed the Democrat, Bill Owens. Most polls have the Conservative Party nominee, Doug Hoffman, ahead, though most have that lead within the margin of error. As with NJ, “experts” disagree on the extent of damage done by a split ticket. Keep in mind that whomever wins this race will have to defend his seat next year in the midterms. Prediction: I think Owens squeaks out a win, making the Dems 2-of-3 on the night, and subjecting us to massive spin of how the Dems really aren’t unpopular at all.
Now, let’s say I’m wrong about NJ and/or NY-23, and the right claims those wins. Will the MSM read anything into Republican wins? Um…no. They’re already sandbagging the results ahead of time in case it happens. Excerpt:
For Republicans, an election win of any size Tuesday would be a blessing. But victories in Virginia, New Jersey or elsewhere won’t erase enormous obstacles the party faces heading into a 2010 midterm election year when control of Congress and statehouses from coast to coast will be up for grabs.
See? The right has “enormous obstacles” heading into the midterms next year. Nothing to see here tonight, right? Wonders Ace:
Imagine if the Democrats were clearly ahead in these races. Try to imagine the AP’s “analysis” reading: Victories in these races do not prove Obama’s popularity or ability to swing races, and do nothing to erase the enormous obstacles he faces in passing health care reform or cap and trade legislation.
You would never see that. If that were the case, it would, in fact, be a referendum on Obama, about how wicked-awesome he is.
More:
So even if political winds start blowing harder behind them and even if they can capitalize on Democratic missteps, Republicans still will have a long way to go over the next year because of their party’s own fundamental problems — divisions over the path forward, the lack of a national leader and a shrinking base in a changing nation.
Ace notes that you don’t see this commentary on the current state of the Democrat Party:
The Democrats, which control both Houses of Congress by large, unbreakable majorities, are unable to agree among themselves on cap and trade, card check, and Pelsoi care.
And they have a national leader. Or Presenter, maybe.
Do they have no divisions over the path forward?
There’s more at Ace’s site, but you get the drift: Dems are not divided, Republicans are, the Dems don’t need to unify to get actual legislation passed that The One wants passed, yet the GOP is the dysfunctional party, etc.
Nope…no liberal media bias!
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The NJ race is going to be a huge mess…thanks to ACORN. Can someone PLEASE nuke that entire filth-laden organization? They have done nothing but bring disgrace to our nation’s electorate.
Comment by Kanaka Girl | November 3, 2009
They will never stop lying, never stop spinning. They are freakin relentless!! I read that lame AP article yesterday and like you thought, what a load of crap! They control all branches and still can’t get all of their statist agenda passed and the Republicans are divided…really?
Comment by joe | November 3, 2009
Conservative grassroots-led victories don’t fit the liberal narrative. The MSM has become Baghdad Bob: “There is no presence of American infidels in the city of Baghdad.”
Comment by Full Metal Patriot | November 3, 2009